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Cheney, by Suskind's account, had been grappling with how to think about "a low-probability, high-impact event." By the time the briefing was over, he had his answer:

"If there's a one percent chance that  <> scientists are helping <>the enemy to build or develop a nuclear weapon, we have to treat it as a certainty in terms of our response."   from  THE ONE PERCENT DOCTRINE Deep Inside America's Pursuit of Its Enemies Since 9/11